Treasure Coast Weekend Outlook: Warm, Breezy and Mostly Dry Through Saturday

A steady southeast breeze and upper-80s heat will define the Treasure Coast's Thursday-through-Saturday window, with rain chances low enough that most outdoor plans — beach days, boat trips, concrete pours — can proceed with confidence, the National Weather Service said.

TODAY: Partly sunny skies with a slight chance of late-morning showers before clouds thin by afternoon. High in the upper 80s. Rain chance: 20%.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy and warm. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Low in the upper 70s. Southeast winds ease to five to 10 mph.

THIS WEEK: Friday mirrors Thursday almost exactly — partly sunny, upper-80s high, a stray shower possible near sunset, southeast winds at 10 to 15 mph. The pattern holds into Saturday, though a slight thunderstorm chance is worth watching for anyone with afternoon plans on the water. No significant pattern change or heavy rain event is forecast through the weekend. This stretch of dry, breezy May weather contrasts with the same period last year, when an early-season moisture surge pushed afternoon storm chances to 60% or higher across the region by mid-May.

ON THE WATER: Southeast winds running 10 to 15 mph will produce a moderate chop on coastal waters — expect two- to three-foot seas near the inlets and building conditions further offshore. The morning window, before the sea breeze reinforces around midday, will offer the smoothest ride for center consoles heading to the snapper and grouper grounds off St. Lucie Inlet. Baitfish — pilchards and threadfin herring — tend to stack tight against the Fort Pierce Inlet's south jetty rocks during this southeast flow pattern. Work the bottom of the incoming tide with a live pilchard free-lined down the wall for the best shot at snook and tarpon that stage there in May.

ALERTS: No active National Weather Service watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect for Martin, St. Lucie, or Indian River counties, NWS data shows.

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