Atlantic Quiet as Hurricane Season Approaches; No Pre-Season Threats Forecast

TODAY: Partly cloudy skies over Martin, St. Lucie, and Indian River counties. High near 84°F. Twenty percent chance of isolated afternoon showers. TONIGHT: Partly cloudy, warm, and humid. Low near 72°F.

THIS WEEK: A quiet, late-spring pattern holds through the weekend. Afternoon sea breezes keep highs in the low-to-mid 80s. Rain chances climb slightly Thursday and Friday — 30 percent — as a weak frontal boundary stalls to the north. No significant pattern change expected before the weekend.

ON THE WATER: Southeast winds 10–15 knots. Nearshore wave heights 1–2 feet, building to 2–3 feet offshore. Morning hours offer the smoothest run before the sea breeze fills in. Baitfish are stacking along the St. Lucie Inlet shoals on the outgoing tide. Work a live pilchard under a popping cork along the north jetty between seven and nine a.m. for the best snook window.

ALERTS: No active National Weather Service watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect for the Treasure Coast.

The Atlantic Basin is holding its breath. No tropical storms or hurricanes are expected to develop in the Atlantic through the pre-season period, according to the National Weather Service. With less than two weeks before the official June 1 start of hurricane season, forecasters are monitoring no areas of concern. Sea surface temperatures — while above average in parts of the Caribbean — have not yet produced the organized convection needed for tropical development, according to public records from NOAA's Tropical Weather Outlook. For Treasure Coast residents, the calm is welcome but should not be mistaken for a forecast of the full season ahead. NOAA's 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook is expected in late May and will set the tone for what lies ahead. The quiet pre-season is a narrow window. Captains should use it to service EPIRBs and flares. Homeowners should confirm their shutters still close. Contractors pouring slabs in June need a weather radio on the job site, not just a smartphone app. The Treasure Coast sits in one of the most exposed stretches of Florida's coastline. Stuart has been struck by three named storms since 2004. The calendar does not negotiate. Hurricane season runs June 1 through November 30. The National Hurricane Center's full 2025 outlook is expected in the coming days, forecasters said. --- *This article was generated with AI assistance using publicly available information. It was reviewed and approved by a human editor before publication. TC Sentinel uses AI writing tools in accordance with FTC guidelines.*